The Observatory
Aylo × The Observatory · two-study report

The questions were the variable.

We began with a practical question: What, if anything, is different about research moderated by a human and research moderated by conversational AI? Then the project gave us a more interesting question. What if the interviewer was not the biggest variable after all?

260 coded interviewstwo linked studiesLeelan + Nicole2026
how the project began

Leelan (Head of Research at Aylo) and Nicole (Head of Research at Dialogue AI) built this collaboration to compare human and AI moderation using the kind of subject that makes polite, generic answers especially easy to spot. Participants talked about adult content, desire, search, and the language they use when they are trying to find something specific.

The first study held the interview guide steady. Leelan moderated one set of conversations, while three AI moderators used the same questions with a much larger group. That let us compare coverage, depth, language, and conversation texture without pretending that one measure could settle whether an interview was “good.”

What we learned changed the next study. The AI could recover the thematic map, but its conversations were thinner. So instead of changing the moderator again, we changed the instrument. Study 2 rewrote the guide around remembered moments, concrete choices, and participant language, then sent the same AI moderator back into the field.

Study 1 Human
Leelan · n=21original guide

A skilled human moderator followed the same core guide used by the AI arms.

Study 1 AI
George, Mia, Riley · n=139same questions, three moderator personas

This was the moderator comparison: hold the guide steady and change who conducted the conversation.

Study 2 AI · rewritten guide
George · n=100rewritten guide

This was the instrument test: keep the AI moderator and change how the questions invited people to answer.

the question across both studies

When an interview changes, how much comes from the moderator, and how much comes from the questions we taught that moderator to ask?

01 · hold the guide

Did changing the moderator change the research?

It changed the depth of the conversation more than the territory it covered. Every emergent theme appeared in both modes, while the human arm produced richer signal per interview.

Figure 01
Theme prevalence by mode
human · n=21AI · n=139
theme0255075100%gap
habit loyalty7
variety6
trust & safety48
news non-influence30
search failure11
abandon / switch27
abandon denial11
ad friction6
realness3
free boundary7
creator ethics13
age verification24
representation17
Dots show presence-based prevalence; whiskers show approximate 95% Wilson intervals from the reported sample sizes and rounded prevalence estimates. Unequal samples make this a directional comparison, not a test of equal rates.
14 / 14themes reproduced across modes
3.82 vs 4.76AI vs human Signal Depth
Conversation exhibit

The interviews did not have the same texture.

The human conversations gave participants more room to hold the floor. The AI returned at more regular intervals, producing a more evenly striped exchange. Select any ribbon to inspect it.

participant speechmoderator speech

Human moderator

21 interviews · 3,218 turns · median participant share 55.5%
71%
62%
61%
59%

Conversational AI moderator

Same guide · regular moderator re-entry · lower participant floor share
33%
29%
27%
24%
Selected conversation
Human moderated · 71% participant share

Long participant stretches dominate the exchange. The moderator appears mainly as brief checkpoints between extended answers.

Four examples from each arm, selected to make the contrast in participant floor time legible. Each ribbon runs from the first turn to the last; segment width reflects the words spoken in that turn.

02 · change the guide

What changed when the questions changed?

The vocabulary more than doubled. The same AI moved from broad judgments to concrete descriptions when the guide reconstructed moments instead of asking for opinions.

Figure 02
Distinct explicit terms at a matched 68,031 participant words
Human · original guide34.0
AI · original guide32.8
AI · rewritten guide69.2
Each corpus was rarefied to the same participant-word count and measured with the same published 403-term list.
Figure 03

How quickly did each arm reach 34 terms?

The rewritten guide reached the human arm’s vocabulary threshold in 10 interviews. The human arm took 21; the same-guide AI took 57.

Study 2 AI · rewritten guideStudy 1 HumanStudy 1 AI
34-term human threshold 02157 INTERVIEWSDISTINCT EXPLICIT TERMS 102157
Verified exchange points from 400 randomized interview orders; connecting paths are schematic.
study 01 · original guide

Ask for judgments

Site choice

How do you decide which site to use?

Finding content

How do you search? Tell me about a time you could not find something.

Industry

What should the industry improve?

study 02 · rewritten guide

Reconstruct the moment

Arrival

Walk me through opening the site like I’m watching over your shoulder.

Name the thing

When you know what you’re in the mood for, how would you describe it?

Selection and rejection

What makes you click? What is an instant no? How fast do you leave?

+36.4distinct terms over the same-guide AI
4.4×concrete act/anatomy share
57 → 10interviews to reach 34 terms
03 · compare the yield

Was AI about 80% of a human?

As a shorthand, yes. Across six reasonably comparable Study 1 measures, the median AI result was 79% of the human result. The spread matters more than the slogan.

vocabulary variety
97%
IQS composite
88%
Signal Depth
80%
explicit-term rate
78%
words per minute
73%
topics per interview
70%
words per interview*
40%
*Human sessions ran roughly 1.7–1.8× longer, making per-interview volume the major duration-confounded exception.
04 · test the candor story

Did feeling freer produce more explicit language?

Not in these interviews. Most people said the AI made candor easier, but the group reporting no difference used more explicit terms. That rate difference was not statistically significant.

59 of 97

said the AI made them feel freer to speak. Twenty-six explicitly reported no difference.

Explicit terms per 1,000 words
“AI freed me”6.58
“no difference”9.64

Directionally opposite to the easy story; not statistically significant.

05 · inspect the evidence base

Who produced the signal, and how usable was it?

The scale story only holds if the interviews are worth analysing. Study 2’s 100 transcripts averaged 3.85 of 5 on the Interview Quality Score; none was excluded, and every interview remains visible in the distribution.

Interview quality · Study 02

Most interviews cleared the quality bar.

28 high52 good20 adequate
3.31signal depth
4.31moderator
4.52usability

Mean IQS 3.85, median 3.92, range 2.79–4.81. Twenty-four transcripts carried a review flag; none was removed. Scores were computed from the transcript, not copied from the platform rating.

Who we talked to · Study 02

Gender identity

cisgender man51%
cisgender woman44%
non-binary / trans woman5%

Age

18–2411%
25–3439%
35–4432%
45–6418%

Orientation

straight62%
bisexual17%
other LGBTQ+ identities21%

Visit frequency

daily28%
2–6× weekly42%
weekly or less30%

Gender and orientation are participants’ own screener responses. Small categories are combined here for legibility; the technical appendix retains the exact study accounting.

what the evidence earns

Use the machine for reach. Invest in the instrument for change.

What we can say

AI reproduced the thematic map, supported far greater scale, and delivered roughly four-fifths of the human result across several comparable measures. The guide rewrite produced the largest observed language shift.

What remains bounded

One moderator cannot stand for every human. Study 2 had no human arm, so guide effects and between-study differences cannot be fully separated.

The open question is not whether AI makes people honest. It is whether the instrument unlocks a register, or extracts it.

technical appendix

The evidence beneath the report.

Study design, full comparison metrics, quality checks, corrections, and the limits that keep the story honest.

Two-study design

Study 1 held the guide constant across one human moderator and three AI moderator personas. Study 2 fielded a rewritten vocabulary-elicitation guide with George.

Fieldwork architecture

21Leelan · human
57George · AI man
54 + 28Mia + Riley · AI
100George · rewritten guide
Complete cross-study metric table
MetricHuman · S1AI · same guideAI · rewritten guide
Participants2157100
Themes found12 of 1414 of 14different codebook
Distinct explicit terms34.032.869.2
Concrete act/anatomy share3.3%3.8%16.7%
Interviews to reach 34 terms215710
Words per interview3,2401,308not comparable
Words per minute85.061.6different guide
Topics raised, of 2012.78.9different guide

Comparable-measure yield

Vocabulary
97%
Signal Depth
80%
Topics
70%
Interview quality

The two studies used separate computation scripts, so decimal-level comparisons should not be overread.

Quality distributions

Study 01
3.84
Study 02
3.85

Study 01: 75 strong, 70 adequate, 15 thin. Study 02: 28 high, 52 good, 20 adequate.

Corrections that changed the story

The final report keeps a visible audit trail for claims that changed under scrutiny.

corrected
Self-reported permission is separated from measured explicit language.
bounded
Theme prevalence is directional because the comparison bases are unequal.
labelled
Accumulation paths are schematic; only the randomized exchange points are claimed.
retired
The hand-built explicit lexicon was replaced by a published 403-term list used wholesale.
Limits
One humanLeelan’s skill and style cannot represent every human moderator.
Unequal cellsRiley’s smaller cell limits subtle persona comparisons.
Missing armStudy 2 had no human moderator on the rewritten guide.
Bounded instrumentThe word list measures one register, not candor in general.
Open curveThe human vocabulary curve was still climbing at interview 21.
Association onlyCross-sectional contrasts do not establish causality.
Analysis workflow

Exact claims remain governed by the canonical evidence packages and the poster QA report.

01field
02code
03normalize
04pressure-test
05render + QA